Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Analysis of Shawn Porter vs Kell Brook, Showtime Boxing(8/16/14)



Shawn “Showtime” Porter vs Kell “Special K” Brook  



This right here might be the most interesting fight of all summer. I guaransheed this is going to be a great fight no matter the duration. Well..if it ends in the 1st or 2nd not so much, but you get the point. This is a great stylistic matchup that offers many questions of both of these young (relative) boxers. Will Kell Brook’s relative inexperience play against him in this fight? Can Shawn Porter continue his dominating, leaping ways against a fighter like Brook who possesses good size and power? I think it’s fair to say an older above optimal division Julio Diaz gave Shawn Porter problems and a C fighter in Carson Jones gave Kell Brook the same issues in both of their 1st fights but both individuals rectified that and more in the rematches. With every fight you come to a point where you just have to think about the styles and tendencies more than just purely overall performance in past fights. The relatively Micro over the Macro. 

The Positives:

Shawn Porter. Powerful. His strength is definitely his greatest asset. He fought at Middleweight in the amateurs I believe and it’s obvious that he has this strength advantage over most Welterweights. He can practically get inside and bull anyone. Excellent left hook. Good enough hand speed. Incredible tenacity and body work. 

Kell Brook: He’s tall, strong and has excellent punching power in the WW division. He also has a really crisp jab and pretty good fundamentals on his other punches. Definitely varies his attack to the head and body. He also has good movement when he’s focused early on in the fight.

The Negatives:

Porter is kinda undersized at the division but that hasn’t hindered him yet. My bigger issues remain with the lunging in and the wild swinging that he does often. At times it looks really good when he lands but in fights with Julio Diaz I it left him open and he got countered and hurt. In the Alexander fight you could see that as well but Devon doesn’t have much power so he got away with it. 

Brook hasn’t faced much in the way of competition. Senchenko was a good win. There are a couple other solid ones sprinkled through but this certainly is an issue. He also has some stamina problems as evidenced with the Carson Jones I fight, where he was winning pretty comfortably in the first half and let it slip away in the 2nd.  

The Rundown:

I don’t believe Porter is the puncher people have come to believe he is ever since he iced Paulie a couple months ago. 2 Ko’s in his last 9 fights kind of validates that. I think the Alexander fight was a great win but Devon is a guy who likes to clinch a lot instead of using footwork to box and avoid. He also is just average defensively. He stood there and got hit then clinched instead of sliding away and jabbing. Brook is a big guy and probably does some of those things better than Alexander but his hand speed isn’t elite or even close to it. Some would say he looks just an ordinary fighter. We saw what happened in the Carson Jones fight where he was bulled and looked just decent in the 2nd half. There is also no significant reach advantage with both of them being at 69”. So Brook may have the advantage in height but the reach which always tends to be more important is a draw. I think neither is a legendary talent but both have an opportunity to vault themselves into the elite with a win here. 

For Porter, he needs to keep doing what he’s doing and get inside on Brook and rough him up. We’ve seen that Porter can fight going backwards at times but he’s more comfortable being the aggressor. If he dedicates to the body then he can tire Brook out and that bodes well for the later rounds of the fight. He does need to limit the wild swings and lunges focus a bit more on defense when he’s coming forward. 

For Brook, I think boxing this guy and countering him is a good way to go. Porter likes to lunge and get wild a lot and leaves his chin exposed when he’s coming in so I know there will be plenty of opportunities for Kell to tag him. But he also needs to stay on the move and limit what Porter does when tie ups occur.  Switching rhythm on Porter is a good idea as well. You can box and move but also come forward and throw him for a loop. Make him think a bit more about his options. 

I like Brook in this fight if he can execute the gameplan well enough over 12 rounds. Brook +185

Sakio Bika vs Anthony Dirrell 2

The last time these 2 fought it resulted in a Draw and as you know, draws really do suck. Anyways, the last fight I thought the not as highly touted Dirrell brother did enough to win the fight but the judges disagreed. He did let Bika’s style get to his head and as Bika fights go(very ugly), it turned into a true mess. The fight was still pretty entertaining, though.

Bika, we know what he is at this point. He’s a physical, sloppy and some would say, dirty fighter, who has a great resume and has given everyone from Joe Calzaghe to Andre Ward a tough fight. He is up there in age so who knows how he looks coming out. 
Dirrell is the less heralded brother and less skilled(but still skilled) but probably possesses more power than his brother. He has good technical skills and speed and isn’t afraid to engage in a fight. 

The key for Bika is to…well..do what Bika does. Make it an ugly ass fight and annoy his opponent so much he gets off his game. He has good power but records can be a little deceiving based on the quality of opponent you face. If he can be Sakio Bika for 12 rounds then I think he can escape with a decision this time around.

Dirrell…you are the better technical fighter by far. Faster and better defensively. Keep the jab out there. Make sure you try to stay away from the clinches that Bika will ensure happens. Basically he needs to be first here at all times and avoid the lulls that led to him giving away rounds. Dirrell hurt Bika a couple times and even knocked him down once so we know his power is legit and a chance may be there again. 

Dirrell -200   Younger fighter, more to prove here. Bika has never been knocked out before but I could see it happening.