Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Golovkin vs Geale/Jennings vs Perez HBO Boxing 7/25/14








Gennady “GGG” Golovkin vs Daniel Geale

This fight is supposed to be Gennady Golovkin’s toughest test, but it feels like we hear that every other fight and the end result is an opponent either bloodied or beaten into submission. Is Golovkin the real deal or is he one of the new “boogeymen” and over hyped punchers in boxing? It’s a question I’ve struggled with for a while now watching GGG’s fights. We certainly know he has some boxing ability and throws really powerful punches to the head and body. He has a good selection and every punch isn’t thrown at the same velocity, but then we see him completely forgoing defense almost every fight. 

Geale is a boxer and counterpuncher with some big wins over Felix Sturm, Anthony Mundine,etc. He doesn’t have much power but he will most likely be the toughest fight for Golovkin since Ouma. That Ouma fight really is the reason I believe Geale has a better shot than anyone GGG has faced since then. Ouma boxed well and hit Golovkin a lot with the jab before succumbing to the power. Geale has the ability to do so. His lack of power is a good and bad thing imo. Good, because it might cause Golovkin to walk in and ignore defense, allowing him to get his jabs off. It’s conversely bad because if GGG walks through you, he’s going to be throwing a shitload of punches from all angles. 

With that said, I think Golovkin is going to take this fight just because he’s the best and most powerful fighter Geale has ever faced.  His workrate and power, as always, will be the difference in the fight. The Ouma fight was something, but that was a while ago and GGG has definitely improved since then.  If Geale can box and move for 12 rounds then he has a shot (easier said than done), but he isn’t exactly Rigondeaux or Floyd defensively, so he will eat some shots. 

Odds are pretty crazy with GGG at -1250. The under 11 ½ rds is at -300 so better odds there if you feel a knockout happens. Golovkin by KO

Bryant Jennings vs Mike Perez

Heavyweight eliminator. We have the American, Jennings, who started boxing later than usual(28) but is undefeated and keeping up his momentum vs Cuban Mike Perez who is looking to bounce back from his draw in his last bout with Carlos Takam. Both of these guys are similarly talented boxers and some of the smaller heavyweight fighters in the division at 6’2” and 6’1”. Both have fast hands and good boxing ability so we should be in for a great fight. 

I believe Jennings is quicker on his feet than Perez is and that coupled with his far superior reach(84” to 72” for Perez)  will be the difference in the fight. Neither man is a gigantic puncher in the division but I’d give the power advantage to Perez…slightly. For Jennings I’d say he needs to fight going backwards and counter Perez when he comes in. I’ve seen a tendency in Perez to get a little bit wild with his punches so the opportunity should be there. Perez needs to get inside and work the body because of his reach disadvantage. Jennings’ last fight he was mostly on the ropes and his opponent landed a good deal of body punches that may or may not have affected him, but was enough to win some rounds. Perez is superior to that guy in a couple different aspects.

I like Jennings here by Decision.  

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