Saturday, July 7, 2012

UFC 148 Co Main Event and Main Event Analysis & Predictions


Written by @mulattobawse

Finally we get to the two fights that we as MMA fans been anxiously awaiting. We finally get to see an ending to what is the most anticipated rematch in MMA history, and the final fight of an MMA legend (Ortiz) and a long time rivalry. Forrest Griffin will try to ruin Tito Ortiz's retirement party as he will attempt to close the final chapter in the rubber match of their rivalry dating back to March 2006. And, to finish off the card, is the fight we've been looking forward to for about 2 summers… Anderson Silva will attempt to shut up the biggest rival of his career and make sure he never has to deal with Chael Sonnen's big mouth again. So with all that let’s get started.


Forrest Griffin vs. Tito Ortiz III

This fight has big time significance in that it will mark the end of the "Punishment Era". Whether you liked or hated Tito Ortiz, no one can deny the impact he’s had on the sport. Tito is one of the main reasons that MMA is a mainstream sport in the world right now. For a long time he was the most marketable star in not just the UFC, but MMA as whole. He is responsible for turning me into a fan of the sport. What initially got me into MMA was the Tito Ortiz/Ken Shamrock rivalry which resulted in me buying their UFC 40 match. On top of his star power, no UFC Light Heavyweight Champion has defended the title more than Tito, accomplishments that are very celebrated among the MMA community. It's remarkable how Tito Ortiz went from the most hated fighter in MMA to a beloved figure over the past few years. The fans have really rallied behind Ortiz over the last few years knowing that these will be the last few times they see him in the cage.

Forrest Griffin is another fighter who has been influential in the rise of UFC into the mainstream. It was his fight with Stephan Bonnar on the Ultimate Fighter Finale that gave the UFC much credibility in the eyes of many curious fans. They were able to witness the brutality of the sport mixed in with the heart and determination of two fighters trying to get a UFC contract. This bloodfest was able to catch the attention of the causal fans turning the UFC into one of the most watched combat sports in the world.

Tito and Forrest have fought twice before splitting wins between each other. In the first fight, Tito was able to use his vintage ground and pound game to control Griffin. As the fight went on, Forrest put up a fight, but what ultimately won Tito the bout was a takedown in the final minute. In the second fight, Tito was able to takedown Forrest in the first round and ground and pound him but after that, Forrest stuffed Tito's takedown attempts and picked him apart in the stand up to secure the win.

For Tito to win, he needs to counter Forrest in the stand up, because we know Forrest will push the pace. Use that to set up his takedowns and use his vintage Tito Ortiz elbows to bloody Forrest. For Forrest to win, he needs to use his range and keep Tito at bay. In the last few fights Tito has lost because of knees to his gut from Rashad and Lil Nog. I'm sure that Forrest's Muay Thai coach, Shawn Yarborough, is working on the clinch and knees with him so don't be surprised if he utilizes that.

My prediction is that Forrest will win another decision. He has been the much more improved fighter while Tito has declined over the years. I don't expect Forrest to stop Tito but I see him busting Tito up in the stand up and winning a wide decision. Regardless of a loss, Tito will be remembered as one of the greatest and most memorable fighters of all time.

My Prediction - Forrest Griffin by Decision


Anderson Silva Vs. Chael Sonnen

Now on to the fight we’ve all been waiting for since the summer of 2010. This is the most anticipated rematch of all time and quite possibly the biggest fight in UFC history. Since their memorable first fight a lot of controversial things have occurred. Originally they were slated to fight in Feburary of 2011 on Superbowl weekend, but Sonnen tested positive for TRT. Anderson went on to destroy Vitor Belfort and Yushin Okami while Sonnen waited over a year to make his return to the Octagon.

In the first fight, Chael Sonnen surprised the world and was able to beat on Anderson Silva like a drum for nearly 4.5 rounds. But Anderson Silva like a true champion came back from adversity and exposed Chael Sonnen's weak submission defense and locked in a triangle choke for the win. Although Chael lost, he gained respect among the MMA fans and community for almost dethroning the most dominant UFC champion in history. Even if you don't agree with Chael's trash talking and antics you have to respect his toughness and ability as a fighter. He did what was thought unthinkable and beat Anderson to a pulp although he lost the fight in the end.

Anderson's poor performance in that fight was explained later as the result of a rib injury he suffered before the fight. You could tell the difference when he faced Yushin Okami, who is a similar fighter to Chael Sonnen and also his training partner. Anderson was able to avoid all of Okami's takedowns and batter him in the stand up, as opposed to in the Sonnen fight where he looked sluggish and even allowed Sonnen to beat him in the stand up, which shocked everyone. Now Anderson looks to be 100% and so there will be no excuses after this fight.

For Chael Sonnen to win he needs to do the same as the first fight and that’s to put the pressure on Anderson. He shouldn’t allow Anderson to set up any of his strikes and if he does he needs to counter him with overhand rights like he did in the first fight. For Anderson to win, he needs to combat Sonnen coming in for a takedown with knees or kicks. He needs to cut off the octagon on Sonnen like Bisping did and put the heat on Sonnen. Although Anderson can knock out any fighter at any point, Sonnen has shown he has a very strong chin. He took a lot of hard shots from Bisping yet still kept pressing forward. Anderson can't look for a highlight reel KO and needs to play it smart and just tactically out strike Sonnen.

I believe Anderson will defeat Chael in a tough fight. I see Chael pushing hard for the takedown but Anderson stuffing him a few times and beating up Chael with knees and his superior boxing. With Anderson being 100% in this fight he will be able to deal with Chael's pressure a lot better. Anderson TKO's Chael in the middle rounds

My Prediction - Anderson Silva by TKO

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